The National Hurricane Center is monitoring three developing systems as Atlantic tropical storms show increased activity during the peak of the hurricane season.
A tropical disturbance near the Cabo Verde Islands is drawing the most attention. The system is currently producing limited thunderstorm activity, and dry air is expected to slow its development in the short term. However, forecasters say there is a 50% chance the disturbance could form into a tropical depression by late next week as it moves west-northwest across the open Atlantic at 10 to 15 mph.
According to Saturday’s advisory from the hurricane center, the system has no chance of forming in the next 48 hours, but conditions may gradually become more favorable over seven days.
If it strengthens into a named storm, it would be called Gabrielle, next on the list for the 2025 Atlantic tropical storms season.
Three additional tropical waves monitored
In addition to the Cabo Verde system, meteorologists are tracking three other tropical waves in the Atlantic and Caribbean. None are expected to develop significantly in the near term, but forecasters are monitoring for any changes.
One tropical wave is located in the eastern Atlantic, near 24W longitude, stretching from 2N to 20N. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 knots. So far, it has produced limited convection activity, and dry air is expected to inhibit development for now.
A second wave is in the central Atlantic near 40W, extending from 1N to 20N. It is also moving west at around 10 knots. Scattered thunderstorms have been observed east of its axis.
Caribbean system produces local storm activity
The third wave is positioned farther west, near 60W longitude and south of 19N. It is moving westward at about 10 knots and bringing scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms between 55W and 60W.
In the western Caribbean, another tropical wave is located near 86W south of 20N. This system is moving west at 10 knots and is producing showers and thunderstorms, particularly in the Gulf of Honduras. No immediate development is expected.
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through November 30, with peak activity typically occurring between August and October. Daily updates and forecasts are issued by the National Hurricane Center.
The Atlantic basin includes the northern Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico. If needed, future storms will be named according to the 2025 hurricane season list, which includes names such as Humberto, Imelda, Jerry, and Karen.
